Friday, August 11, 2017

The North Korean Missile Crisis (it's more of a hazard to London than mainland USA)

Why London is an easier target for North Korean missiles than mainland American cities!  As for American soil at Guam, the fact is that Hiroshima in Japan is closer to North Korea.
Guam's Office of Civil Defense advice to duck and cover against North Korean nuclear missile strike: page 1 of 2.

Guam's Office of Civil Defense advice to duck and cover against North Korean nuclear missile strike: page 2 of 2.

ABOVE: North Korean missiles crisis advice on protection against nuclear attack covers some key points, but ideally should also include the fact (as we blogged previously) that smartphones in camera mode with the lens covered by black tape/paper detect nuclear radiation as random flashes, so everybody normally does have the means to determine the relative intensity of fallout dangers.  The greater the saturation of the screen with white flashes (impacts of radiation on the CCD camera chip pixels), the greater the dose rate.  Thus, you can observe the relative intensity in different parts of a building, and choose the safest area to shelter, and you can tell when the fallout has decayed appreciably, permitting evacuation.  There is also a downloadable app which turns a smartphone into a radiation meter for a more accurate assessment of the fallout situation:

With the North Korean Missiles Crisis looming, it's probably worth while pointing readers to our 6 January 2016 blog post (linked here) on the possible use of North Korean nuclear armed missiles: electromagnetic pulse.  In summary, the West has published declassified patents of practical warhead ejection systems for ICBMs and SLBMs, as well as designed for miniature implosion systems suitable for missile warheads, and in any case, if North Korea goes for an EMP attack at 100 km burst altitude (for which the fusing system is simply a timer and a deceleration switch in series, so that the warhead detonates immediately upon hitting the upper portion of the atmosphere when just beginning reentry), even a very poor guidance system will be adequate.  EMP covers such a large area than the missile could be hundreds of miles off target, and still produce major effects!

What is not a problem, however, is the usual over-hyped claims about civilian mass casualties from nuclear weapons.  Simple countermeasures protect people from nuclear weapons far more efficiently than they do from conventional weapons, where there is less time to react to quickly arriving hazards over the smaller danger areas.

Please see also the earlier blog post from 11 May 2015 on North Korean missiles.  It looks as if Kim Jong Un is producing nuclear missiles in trying to deter America from coercing it or invading it to topple the dictatorship.  The real problem here is not North Korea alone, but the risk of horizontal escalation in a war.  For example, China is the neighbour of North Korea, and could be sucked into a war, possibly being (reluctantly) pressed into supporting North Korea.  All the other anti-West countries, from Iran to possibly Russia, could end up supporting North Korea for propaganda reasons.

Sanctions against North Korea look like a repeat of the mistake America made in placing sanctions on Japan in the 1930s when it was invading China: eventually Japan declared war on America with a strike on 7 December 1941.  Sanctions also failed and eventually led to war with Iraq under Saddam Hussein's dictatorship.  The smarter way to deal with dictatorships is the "deterrence to motivate peace" method Reagan used in the 1980s to end the expansion of the USSR's nuclear arsenal: Reagan simply re-armed to parley.  He included low-yield tactical nuclear weapons which (unlike the previous cold war mainstream dogma of the incredible threat of megatons on cities) proved to be a more credible deterrent, and a real motivator for peace talks.

Some links to earlier posts on the North Korean missiles crisis:

January 2016 test: http://glasstone.blogspot.co.uk/2016/01/7-kiloton-north-korean-miniature.html

May 2015: http://glasstone.blogspot.co.uk/2015/05/north-koreas-kim-jong-un-on-8-may-2015.html

March 2013: http://glasstone.blogspot.co.uk/2013/03/north-korean-strike-plan-for-mainland.html

October 2006: http://glasstone.blogspot.co.uk/2006/10/north-korea-announces-first-nuclear.html






"The so-called War Powers Clause of the constitution says that only once war has been declared by Congress can the president lead the military into it. However, the president does have the authority to order a nuclear attack, not only in retaliation but also as a preemptive measure(pdf, p.1) to stop an attack on US territories. The system in place for deploying the US’s more than 7,000 nuclear warheads was developed during the cold war and rests on a core element: The president, and only the president, has the authority to authorize a strike, and nobody can legally veto him."

  - https://qz.com/1051837/can-donald-trump-launch-a-nuclear-attack-on-north-korea-on-his-own/  This same site also lists the nuclear release procedure in detail:
  1. Get out the biscuit: The president holds the nuclear codes, called the “gold codes,” on a laminated card called “the biscuit” that he carries. New codes are provided daily by the National Security Agency (NSA). The biscuit includes a number of fake codes, so the president has to memorize where the right ones are located.
  2. Get the football: The “football” is the briefcase containing secure communications equipment as well as instructions on how to verify the president’s identity and transmit the command. The football is carried around by a military aide who is always near the president.
  3. Order an attack: Once his identity has been verified, the president can order an attack—though the details of how he does it are secret.
  4. Execution: The secretary of Defense is notified of the order, but isn’t legally required to give approval for the attack, and doesn’t have the power to veto it; nor does anyone else in the chain of command. The system is designed to launch within minutes of the president’s order. Still, officials might find ways to delay or impede what they thought were rash decisions, as two of president Richard Nixon’s (paywall) Defense secretaries did.
Again, the key problem is that horizontal escalation may follow vertical escalation: several enemies of the West who are not normally very close allies (China and Russia, for instance) may feel comradeship and form an alliance in order to challenge what they perceive (through paranoia) as a threat from whoever stops North Korea.  (This also occurred when Churchill offered comradeship to Stalin in June 1941, in order to get rid of Hitler faster, despite being an enemy of communism.)

"North Korea on Wednesday announced detailed new plans to fire four ballistic missiles at an area just 19 to 25 miles off Guam’s shore. ... Friday morning, Guam’s Office of Civil Defense issued official guidelines on how to survive a nuclear missile strike. Written as dryly as possible, the guidelines are still terrifying. “If caught outside,” the fact sheet notes, “do not look at the flash or fireball” of a nuclear strike, “as it can blind you.” It recommends taking cover, lying on the ground and covering your head if caught outside, and getting underground as quickly as possible. Guam’s Pacific Daily News didn’t help ease people’s fears any, either. In inch-high bold font, Friday’s front-page headline simply read “14 MINUTES” — the amount of time Guam residents would have to duck and cover before a North Korean missile would hit." 
- https://www.vox.com/world/2017/8/11/16127990/guam-guidelines-nuclear-attack

Calling civil defense duck and cover advice "terrifying" is plain silly: as we proved in the previous post, detailed data on survival proved the validity of duck and cover in houses which were blown up by blast.

Updates (20 August 2017):

 Hiroshima and Nagasaki "Duck and Cover".  The earlier post quoting Hiroshima and Nagasaki "duck and cover" survival (Trumbull's 1957 book, Nine Who Survived Hiroshima and Nagasaki: Personal Experiences of Nine Men who Lived Through Both Atomic Bombings) is:

 https://glasstone.blogspot.co.uk/2014/03/britains-1950-studies-of-nuclear-911.html

Some of these Hiroshima and Nagasaki (double nuclear explosion) survivors helped by "duck and cover" against flying glass on seeing the flash.  As we point out in the comments section below, when you have a very bright old fashioned magnesium photo flash go off a foot from your face, or see a nuclear explosion nearby, the intensity can exceed the kilowatt/m^2 that normal sunlight gives, and then the pain ensures that instinctive "duck and cover" kicks in without any training.   This is ignored in FEMA's standard models of standing personnel behind windows in a nuclear explosion, explaining the difference in DCPA/FEMA blast calculated effects to actual Dirkwood Corporation Hiroshima and Nagasaki data.  You turn away, cover eyes with hands, and drop on your knees with face to the ground until the retina pain subsides, which takes tens of seconds, thus affording some duck and cover protection against flying glass and displacement.


Above: a 1975 Russian civil defense poster on "duck and cover", evacuation in a crisis before declaration of war (as Britain did for cities in "Operation Pied Piper" on 1 September 1939, two days before declaring war), and simple low cost shelters proved at nuclear weapons tests (for propaganda reasons their agents in the Western media and politics/CND sneered at the "futility" of civil defense in an effort to encourage the West to give up and disarm, but internally they had a different approach).

On another topic of relevance, pseudo-liberalism (aka hypocrisy) in Britain is creating a left wing fascist, Jew hating, capitalism hating, Nazi style repetition of former Labour MP, Sir Oswald Mosley: a "people's party" which claims, in the words of former London Mayor "Red" Ken Livingstone, that Hitler was a Zionist Jew supporter "before he went a bit mad."  This is causing increasing hate attacks on Jews, analogous to the situation prior to Hitler's election in 1933.  Labour Party Leader Jeremy Corbyn makes "friends" (his own word) with Jew murdering terrorists like Hamas and Hezbollah.  The result is increasing terrorism against Jews and Christians:


A third of Jewish people want to flee the UK, survey reveals 
A THIRD of Jewish people in Britain have considered leaving because of a surge in antiSemitic hate crime, a survey reveals today, writes James Fielding. 
 
More than three-quarters believe that the Labour Party’s stance on Israel have stoked rising levels of bigotry while Islamist extremism is cited as their biggest concern. 
The YouGov poll, commissioned as part of a report by the Campaign Against Antisemitism (CAA), also found that more than half felt the justice system is not doing enough to combat the problem.
It comes as figures obtained under a Freedom of Information request showed a 45 per cent rise in anti-Semitic crime since 2014. ... Meanwhile Labour leader Jeremy Corbyn, who referred to Palestinian terror groups Hamas and Hezbollah as “friends”, has been repeatedly criticised for failing to crack down on anti-Semitism within the party.
Labour’s former London mayor, Ken Livingstone, was suspended last year after claiming that Adolf Hitler was a Zionist. 
This followed Bradford West MP Naz Shah being forced to apologise for a Facebook post which joked that a “solution for the Israel-Palestine conflict” was to relocate Israel to the United States. ...
Let's try to get the hypocrisy clear.  The BBC with its vast Labour pseudo-socialist political lobby (biased producers, journalists, researchers etc) is siding with the racists, failing to investigate and expose the hatred of Jews by using one-sided propaganda: saturation coverage of small scale retaliation against fascists without any sense of balance or comparison with the crimes done by the racist rants supported by Jeremy Corbyn's friends like "Red" Ken Livingstone.  When pressed, Corbyn either ignores questions or makes a bland moral equivalence between all sides, which BBC reporters accept.  However, when Donald Trump argued that General Lee, whose statues are being destroyed by pseudo-liberals in America who believe that "liberty" means destroying anything they don't agree with, was not a Nazi, the BBC reporters on Trump claimed that General Lee was in effect Hitler's brother because the Confederacy used slavery.

Pseudo-liberalism is plain fascism; it is racist anti-Jew "anti-capitalist" bigotry dressed up with propaganda as "peace", "freedom", and democracy", like the August 1939 Soviet-Nazi Pact to invade Poland and start WWII.  Pseudo-liberalism is more hypocritical in its Nazi style hatred than General Robert Lee's Confederate slavery, because by the time of the American civil war of 1861-5, racist slavery had already been officially abolished for decades in Britain - there was still white slavery in brothels, however, as Herman Kahn points out in his original 1962 edition of Thinking About the Unthinkable (not the 1984 version of similar title) - and racist slavery's days were numbered everywhere.  Pseudo-liberalism makes slaves through its USSR style bigotry and dictatorship, which is anti-freedom, anti-liberalism, anti-democracy, and anti-peace.  Until the Cold War nuclear weapons propaganda of the USSR's original pseudo-liberalism is debunked, we remain slaves to media tyranny, which allows these nasty hypocrites the freedom to circulate lying hate attacks that start wars:

 “Seventy-five years ago white slavery was rampant in England. Each year thousands of young girls were forced into brothels and kept there against their will. ... One reason why this lasted as long as it did was that it could not be talked about openly in Victorian England; moral standards as subjects of discussion made it difficult to arouse the community to necessary action. ... Social inhibitions which reinforce natural tendencies to avoid thinking about unpleasant subjects are hardly uncommon. The psychological factors involved in ostrich-like behavior have parallels in communities and nations. ... 

 “Perhaps some evils can be avoided or reduced if people do not think or talk about them. But when our reluctance to consider danger brings danger nearer, repression has gone too far.  In 1960 I published a book that attempted to direct attention to the possibility of a thermonuclear war, to ways of reducing the likelihood of such a war, and to methods for coping with the consequences should war occur despite our efforts to avoid it. The book was greeted by a large range of responses—some of them sharply critical. Some of this criticism was substantive, touching on greater or smaller questions of strategy, policy, or research techniques. But much of the criticism was not concerned with the correctness or incorrectness of the views I expressed. It was concerned with whether any book should have been written on this subject at all. It is characteristic of our times that many intelligent and sincere people are willing to argue that it is immoral to think and even more immoral to write in detail about having to fight a thermonuclear war. ... In a sense we are acting like those ancient kings who punished messengers who brought them bad news. This did not change the news; it simply slowed up its delivery. On occasion it meant that the kings were ill informed and, lacking truth, made serious errors in judgment and strategy. ...

 “Clemenceau once said, “War is too important to be left to the generals.” A colleague of mine, Albert Wohlstetter, has paraphrased the remark to the even more appropriate, “Peace is too important to be left to the generals.” If we treat all questions of the deterrence and fighting of war as a subject to be entrusted solely to those in uniform we should not be surprised if we get narrow policies. The deterring or fighting of a thermonuclear war certainly needs specialists in and out of uniform; but it involves all of us and every aspect of our society. … Critics frequently refer to the icy rationality of the Hudson Institute, the RAND Corporation, and other such organizations. I’m always tempted to ask in reply, “Would you prefer a warm, human error? Do you feel better with a nice emotional mistake?”

 – Herman Kahn, Thinking about the Unthinkable (New York: Horizon Press, 1962)

Hate attacks on Jews widely in Britain following pseudo-liberalism "socialist" pro-fascist ("Hitler was a Zionist") hate attacks on Jews led by "Red" Ken Livingstone (former London Mayor, Labour Party) and Jeremy Corbyn's Labour "Momentum" propaganda gang.  (Click photo for larger view.)  We warned that the pseudo socialists were turning Britain into another Nazi state for the purposes of trying to built up a new USSR (Corbyn is a hard communist) in this earlier blog post: https://glasstone.blogspot.co.uk/2017/02/british-new-evil-fascist-democracy.html  Ignore the truth and you get war.
Jeremy Corbyn loves radical Islam (not moderates, just jihadis, Hamas "friends" and Hezbollah "friends") because he hopes it will destroy Jews and Christians: and it pays off since nobody powerful in the media is doing a Woodward and Bernstein daily rant to expose his racist, communist, bigotry (whereas they would if he was Conservative).  The hypocrisy is very revealing and debunks the notion that it would have been easy to debunk Hitler in the 1930s if he hadn't hypnotised the West with the threat of gassing cities, burning cities, and blowing cities up.  The unpleasant truth is that many communists including leaders like Stalin were anti-Semitic (claiming falsely that all Jews were evil capitalists) and many "elitist" scientists at the time were corrupted by eugenics pseudo-science, particularly medical Nobel laureate Alexis Carrell, who proposed the gas chamber solution for political rebels to the Nazis in a bestseller which falsely claimed - like Hitler and Marx - that diversity and freedom is a weakness, and conformity a strength (it is still taboo to mention that).  Result:

A third of Jewish people want to flee the UK, survey reveals

A THIRD of Jewish people in Britain have considered leaving because of a surge in antiSemitic hate crime, a survey reveals today, writes James Fielding.



 UPDATE (23 August 2017) on political correctness aka offensive, bigoted ranting fascist hate attacks by Stalinist "peace movement" pseudo-liberals (aka terrorists)


Joke from my dad (who was an evacuee in WWII after the Nazis started bombing Colchester, and was a hydrogen bomb era U.K. Civil Defence Corps instructor from 1951 until 1957), regarding the BBC Look East saturation coverage of the Guardian newspaper's lefty campaign to destroy all the statues of Admiral Lord Nelson, hero of the Battle of Trafalgar (21 October 1805) due to links to slavery:

"So are they going to pull down and destroy all the Roman statues now, because the Romans had slavery too?!"

(Update: he now adds the suggestion that according to the pseudo-liberalism agenda, the pyramids of Egypt should also be destroyed, because the Ancient Egyptians used Jews and others as slaves.)

The Slavery Abolition Act was passed in 1833 in Britain, although white slavery persisted long afterwards as Herman Kahn points out in the quotation given earlier; in America slavery was abolished by the 13th amendment to the constitution in 1865.  Practically the entire population of Britain was in effect a slave to the King in medieval times, before the signing of the Magna Carta on 15 June 1215.  So maybe the pseudo-liberals (the new slave controllers) will soon be going around blowing up and trashing, like so-called Islamic State terrorists, all the ancient relics from the past? As I've been saying since the 1990, the USSR propaganda machine's legacy is a continuation of left wing "divide and rule" hate and fear tactics including race wars, religious wars, cultural wars, and class wars; exactly the strategy used to demoralise opponents to dictatorial, thuggish Nazis in the 1930s.

Pulling down statues to start civil wars that result in people being injured and killed is a typical fascist "divide and rule" tactic, since it gives an excuse to impose a police state.  We all find lots of things offensive, but we don't go around trying to destroy monuments and kill people because of it.  The slavery issue falls down like the feminist rights to vote militant issue because the racist and sexist side of it is one part, and bigger picture is that the majority of the population of Britain only got any voting rights in the Reform acts of 1867 and 1884, when ordinary people (in cities and in the countryside, respectively) were given voting rights.  In any case, democracy is so watered down in one vote for small choice of similar candidates every four years (and a refusal of the media to really accept the result as in the 2016 American election), it remains a travesty of freedom, and the reality is a dictatorship by groupthink media bigotry.  In effect, everyone is still a slave to laws and conventions imposed by a small number of similar-thinking bigots, which is the opposite of the true meaning of "democracy" in Ancient Greece, where it was invented as a daily referendum on issues (something that could be implemented with quick and easy secure database daily online referendums, using similar secure technology to online banking systems).  Trying to provoke a race war by claiming that slavery is a purely race issue is inaccurate and dangerous; it is not liberal and tolerant.

Civil war fanatics want to pull down Lord Nelson's statue from Trafalgar Square in London, because of links to slavery: http://metro.co.uk/2017/08/23/nelsons-column-should-be-pulled-down-because-he-was-a-white-supremacist-6872593/ If everything connected to slavery is to be pulled down, Rome will lose all its Roman statues, and Egypt will lose its pyramids. Destroying the cultural heritage of the place because some people are offended by some aspects of life from the past is what Islamic State's fanatics have been doing for years: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Destruction_of_cultural_heritage_by_ISIL


Update (24 August 2017): Watch the BBC one hour 2013 documentary on Machiavelli, available on YouTube at present



In 2013, the BBC broadcast a documentary on Niccolo Machiavelli's The Prince (it was the 500th anniversary of the writing of the book in 1513, which was first published in 1532, five years after the author's death in 1527 aged 58), which is key to understanding nuclear deterrence (as well as how to avoid a miserable life being trodden on by others who see virtue as a weakness, how to succeed in business, academia, journalism, communism and all political parties), which someone (not me) put on YouTube on 7 June 2017 and has now (24 August 2017) already had 195,595 views!

It's clear that the BBC loves and uses Machiavelli's methodology (while pretending, like all of Machiavelli's pseudo-critics, to hate him), even to the point of hypocritically claiming to be in favour of "speaking truth" (the BBC motto) while ruthlessly removing BBC content from YouTube, even when it has become basically archive material (if you have ever published an article in magazine, you will know that the author sells first serial rights, which mean that after the article is out of print - i.e. when the next issue appears - the copyright reverts to the author who can publish it free on the internet if they want, a concept that helps disseminate information freely while still giving paid media the chance to profit from exclusive first publication rights, a concept that is sadly lacking in BBC TV copyright bigotry).  So catch this while it's available.  The bottom line is that Machiavelli was framed for a conspiracy and arrested in 1513, being tortured on the rack (he was stretched 3 notches without his spine cracking).  Then he wrote what his editors in 1532 called The Prince (his original version had no title) while recovering from torture under house arrest.

He therefore knew the harsh reality of a lack of power and influence in the world, and this BBC documentary (which will doubtless soon disappear from YouTube due to the Machiavellian BBC copyright enforcers) proves just how influential his principles are in all areas of human activity.  Nuclear deterrence, using fear to prevent world war, is a vital Machiavellian principle the lefty BBC doesn't mention (obviously), but it does mention the application to war (e.g. the Iraq war).  In a nutshell, if you don't have enough power to simply ignore enemies, and you are forced into a fight, you might have to use underhand tactics merely to survive, regardless of moral principles! A classic example is the clash between moral principles in education and competition in education: in schooling, Marxist teachers had no qualms in the contradiction on encouraging inequality in sports races and exams, while preaching a doctrine of equality as the way to morality! Machiavelli is simply a messenger, delivering an understanding of the principles people really use in life (while they are hypocritically denying so), and to shoot the messenger to avoid understanding and thinking about the reality is the real immorality, since it prevents any honest, reliable solutions being developed to end suffering in wars and conflicts.

Update (2 September 2017): 30 August 2017 Daily Mail scare mongering on North Korea, ignoring credible deterrence and civil defence, as usual




Above: bonkers contrived, ignorant Daily Mail analysis, something you'd expect to find from American nuclear bigots, ignoring civil defense and credible nuclear deterrence (used successfully against the USSR in the cold war) as options.  Sanctions don't work: they failed with North Korea in the past, they failed with Iraq's Saddam, they failed with Japan's invasion of China in 1937 (Japan ended up bombing Pearl Harbor in 1941, escalating WWII to the Pacific theatre). What works is the neutron bomb deterrent against invasions, first tested underground in Nevada in 1963 by Kennedy's administration.  Sanctions also provably cause no real hardship to the dictators at the top, but hardship to the poor slaves at the bottom.  Funny, but on the issue of sanctions against North Korea, we agree with the Marxist, anti-nuclear CND vice chair, and Labour Party Leader, Jeremy Corbyn:

"Jeremy Corbyn identified North Korea as “not a rogue state” and opposed sanctions against the Communist country over its development of nuclear weapons." - June 4, 2017, http://www.express.co.uk/news/politics/812956/jeremy-corbyn-north-korea-not-rogue-state-opposed-sanctions

 The problem here, of course, is that although we agree on the failure of sanctions, we don't agree on much else.  He wants to promote divide-and-rule wars (civil, class, religion, cultural and race) to get power by producing a crisis that he can claim he understands and can alone resolve (presumably with gulags and repression for anyone who disagrees with anything he says).  His solution is for the world to follow North Korea's glorious example!

Update (3 September 2017): congratulations to Kim for his first deliverable hydrogen bomb, and please keep them in North Korea as a deterrent (rather than detonated over Japan, Guam, London, or California)

North Korean hydrogen bomb test 3 September 2017: at least Kim Jong Un is open with the design, allowing pictures of the actual bomb tested to be published.  It certainly appears to have two distinct stages and the shape suggests it is a "peanut" type hydrogen bomb with spherical shaped primary and secondary stages, like the 300-475 kt American nuclear warhead W87 for missiles.
American 300-475 kt W87 peanut shaped nuclear warhead for missiles, which appears somewhat similar to the photos of the device tested by North Korean on 3 September 2017.  The North Korean test seismic signature is reported so far as 50-60 kt, so it would appear to be a smaller yield version than the W87.  The diagram above shows an outer radiation case of Uranium-238, whereas the North Korean photos appear to show they have used a steel case, which would reduce yield (14.1 MeV fusion neutrons would cause fission in a uranium-238 outer case, but obviously not in steel).
This photo gives the relative scale of the primary and secondary stage diameters.  The horizontal silver cylinder with arming and firing cables on the table behind the warhead is the bus which would connect the warhead to the missile section.
55 kt North Korean hydrogen design tested 3 September 2017.Note that the umbilical cables from the missile bus (far left, on table) goes to the fission primary stage, which has a greater diameter than the fusion stage (far right). (Click image for larger view).



 Update (4 September 2017): Kim Jong Un has confirmed our warning from years back that he is interested in using high altitude EMP attacks to shut down power lines, computers and communications over wide areas which do not require accurate guidance systems

“The H-bomb, the explosive power of which is adjustable from tens kiloton to hundreds kiloton, is a multi-functional thermonuclear nuke with great destructive power which can be detonated even at high altitudes for super-powerful EMP [Electromagnetic Pulse] attack according to strategic goals,” the Korean Central News Agency reported. - http://dailycaller.com/2017/09/02/north-korea-reveals-shocking-images-of-possible-h-bomb-warhead/

See also:

North Korea has made a point of releasing photos of nuclear weapons, releasing a photo of a 60 cm diameter fission implosion warhead for the KN-08 ICBM in March 2016:
Kim Jong Un with first deliverable nuclear fission implosion warhead for the KN-08 ICBM, photographed March 2016.  According to the UN, Kim has reportedly been selling thermonuclear bomb components like lithium-6 over the internet via Green Pine Associated Corp, which could potentially result in well-funded terrorists acquiring such weapons: they have already sold missile gear to Iran, Syria, Egypt and Yemen. Israel bombed the North Korean nuclear reactor in Syria ten years ago. 

Update (5 September 2017): President Putin confirms that Kim Jong Un will never surrender to United Nations sanctions which will be "catastrophic" like the decision of America to impose tough sanctions on Japan after it invaded China (Japan hit back with a military strike against Pearl Harbor in 1941, which eventually escalated into nuclear warfare in August 1945, with two nuclear weapons dropped on cities).  Sanctions also failed as an alternative to war against Saddam Hussein's Iraq.

 http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2017/09/05/seoul-seeks-bigger-warheads-conducts-live-fire-navy-drills-north/ :

Sanctions will never make North Korea give up its nuclear programme, warns Putin




"Vladimir Putin, the Russian president, said on Tuesday that US-led calls for harsher sanctions on North Korea were futile and warned that military escalation could lead to a global catastrophe, arguing that Pyongyang rightfully fears for its security.
"Mr Putin called North Korea's nuclear test on Sunday “provocative” but said Kim Jong-un “definitely won't forget” the US-led military actions in Libya and Iraq.
"Saddam Hussein gave up his weapons of mass destruction only to be hanged after the US invasion, he said.
“The use of any kind of sanctions in this situation is already useless and ineffective,” Mr Putin said. “They will eat grass but they won't give up (the nuclear) programme if they don't feel safe.”

"Mr Putin’s comments came as concern grew that the North was planning to carry out another weapons test – possibly the launch of an intercontinental ballistic missile to mark the anniversary of its founding this Saturday."
Ranges of North Korean Missiles: the KN-14 is designed to have a range of 6200 miles (reaching the UK and California), while the KN-08 will be able to reach almost the entire USA (except for Florida) with its 7200 miles range.

at 11 comments:

Friday, July 14, 2017

New photos of non-collapsed Nevada houses after 5 psi peak overpressure in the 29 kt Teapot Apple-2 test, Nevada, 5 May 1955; plus an analysis of why the freedom of the press means freedom for dictatorial censors of the facts (the press)

Philip J. Dolan (editor), U.S. Department of Defense, Capabilities of Nuclear Weapons 1972, Secret - Restricted Data, DNA-EM-1 (declassified extracts).

61.9% of people were killed when caught totally unprepared in houses subjected to total collapse by supersonic V2 missiles where the lethal radius corresponded to a blast arrival time too short for any "duck and cover" at all, unlike the case for nuclear weapons! (report S118, 1946).

 These facts are all important for civil defence against conventional weapons and other disasters, not just nuclear attack (where they are most effective, due to the relatively long blast arrival times over most of the area in which houses are demolished, which permits very effective duck and cover).  Note also that there is a lot of anti-civil defence hogwash about "risks" of standing people being blown out of tall steel frame buildings by blast, but again, simply lying down behind low cover reduces exposure to the blast winds, which are reduced in a built up city by shielding of buildings. Test experiments proved that blast drag displacement is reduced substantially by lying down.

 Above: the effects of blast duration for severe damage (50% risk of collapse) on diffraction sensitive targets are highly limited.  A peak overpressure of 5 psi (note that 1 psi = 6.9 kPa in modern units) causes severe damage to brick houses for all yields above about 20 kt.  This means that the cube-root scaling law determines damage effects and casualty radii.  The casualty data in the table on the right is correlated to the risk of building collapse, rather than peak overpressure.  In reality, the blast duration effects are eliminated at high yields because it is not the impulse but the maximum (peak) pressure which determines whether walls crack, and if the pressure is too low to crack a wall, then regardless how long that low pressure lasts (i.e. regardless how high the impulse loading is), it survives.  Put another way, chairs don't collapse after sitting them for a given period of time if the force on them per unit area (pressure) is below the failure limit: thus the impulse, pressure integrated over time, is simply not relevant.  Glasstone and Dolan obfuscate this to the point of deception.  Sources: here and here.  The reality is that blast duration effects are grossly exaggerated for propaganda purposes.  In the 1957 edition of Glasstone's Effects of Nuclear Weapons, the nonographs for damage correctly reverted - using a curved scaling line - from 0.4 power of yield to 1/3 power of yield for high yields, but this was eliminated in the misleadingly simplistic graphs in 1962/4 and 1977 editions.

Nuclear radiation does have a safe dose rate, contrary to ill informed political propaganda which simply ignores all the relevant evidence instead of investigating it.





5 May 1955: Operation Teapot, shot Apple 2 (nuclear test of 29kt on 500 ft tower), giving 5 psi peak overpressure to a brick frame American house, which had the outer walls blown out in the negative (suction) phase, not inwards on to people inside the house! (an important debris direction distinction for people ducking and covering under tables from glass and falling debris!).  Note that the remaining partition walls prevented full collapse, but the house was later manually pulled down by the "Operation Cue" civil defense workers, to prevent any risk of people later entering it in the future, with the possibility of causing it to collapse on them.  A photo of the manually-demolished (totally flattened) debris was lyingly then used for propaganda purposes (without admission that the nuclear blast had failed to collapse the house!) in the 1979 U.S. Office of Technology Assessment anti-civil defense propaganda whitewash, The Effects of Nuclear War!

 Actual evidence, collected in great detail by the U.K. Ministry of Home Security's wartime Research and Experiments Department (which became the great postwar U.K. Home Office Scientific Advisory Branch) from duck-and-cover under simple table shelters in Britain in WWII proved very high survival rates even when the debris was inward-moving (not outward moving) and when there was total collapse (not merely loss of outer walls) by blast (see earlier post, linked here).

Above: Operation Teapot (civil defense Operation Cue), shot Apple-2, 29 kt yield on 500 foot tower, fireball at Yucca Flat in Nevada on 5 May 1955.

5 May 1955 Apple 2 nuclear test of 29kt giving 5psi peak overpressure to a brick house, which does not collapse completely, and the risk of people being hit by anything other than flying glass (behind windows on the side facing the fireball) is trivial, because the walls are blown outwards, not inwards.

5 May 1955 Apple 2 nuclear test of 29kt giving 5psi peak overpressure to a wood frame American house on Yucca Flat, Nevada test site.  Again, the cine films prove that the house failed in the negative phase, exploding outwards, not inwards.  Anyone under a British Blitz "Morrison shelter" type table away from windows facing the fireball could have survived.  The house didn't burn.
Shelter at Home: June 1941 (U.K. Ministry of Home Security)


1917 British school kids "duck and cover" under desks to avoid glass debris and shrapnel from Gotha bombing air raids.  Yes, 1917, not 1941.  The school girls in the photo are not fully under the desks for reasons of the photographer: they would not be seen if they were, and they would be directly under the desks in a real drill.  This was a REAL threat even in 1917.  On 13 June 1917, in a daytime raid on London, a bomb dropped on Upper North Street in Poplar hit a primary school, killing 18 children.  This led to "duck and cover".  It was based on practical facts, not propaganda.  Unfortunately, the WWII data on the immense success of such cheap civil defence countermeasures against building collapse were classified Confidential in the U.K. Ministry of Home Security report RC-450 "Structural Defence 1945" (U.K. National Archives: HO 195/16/450).  The Americans used "duck and cover" and had the British report (which they used in their secret Capabilities of Atomic Weapons 1957 and Capabilities of Nuclear Weapons 1972), but didn't make public such data to support civil defence.  Hence, communist propaganda and anti-nuclear bigots had a field day trying to "ridicule" proved cheap duck and cover.

 Let's try to communicate these facts one more time, in a different way to last time.

U.K. National Archives document HO228/1, "Notes on the occupancy of shelters during attack by V1 weapons on London, 1944" (which we put on Internet Archive years ago) found that in a sample of 1,471 people within 170 feet of V1 explosions (approximately 1 ton of TNT) from 18 June to 28 August 1944, 853 took shelter in Andersons (outdoor earth-covered corrugated steel arches) or Morrisons (indoor steel table shelters, with 3 mm thick steel table top, roughly equivalent to a typical inch thick wooden table), and 618 did not.  This was for a situation where the air raid warning sirens were basically useless in giving a credible warning.

Many V1s were fired everyday and passed over large areas before the crashing and exploding, so you had the "crying wolf" syndrome if the air raid warnings were given too often, and many people became inured to the warnings and didn't take cover.  The time available to duck and cover for 1 psi blast overpressure on seeing the flash of the explosion (1 ton of TNT) was just 0.4 second, whereas you have 4 seconds for the same window-busting pressure in a 1 kiloton explosion and 40 seconds in a 1 megaton explosion.  The point is, you get better civil defence possibilities in properly informed populations for nuclear attack, than for conventional explosives, especially if the civilian casualty risk is due to long range collateral damage to a city from a distant nuclear explosion on a military target.  (That credible nuclear war situation maximises the time available to duck and cover, and then to take shelter or evacuate from any surface burst downwind area fallout risk.)

Next, consider shelter occupation during the 13 June 1917 air raid on London by twin-engined Gotha bombers during WWI, when 41 of the 59 people killed were exposed outdoors in the open (usually watching the aircraft bombing them!): see U.K. National Archives report 225/12, "A Comparison between the number of people killed per tonne of bombs during World War I and World War II" (which we put on Internet Archive years ago).  The same report does an analysis which compared this 13 June 1917 air raid, where 69.5% of people were totally unprotected, standing outdoors while being bombed, with the World War II Blitz where only 5% of people were in the open, 60% were indoors and not in shelter (but usually in rooms with cross-taped windows or papered window glass to reduce the risk of cuts from glass fragments), and 35% were in shelters (Andersons, Morrisons, tube station tunnels, Dover caves, etc.).  Even poor shelter in houses is immensely safer than exposure outdoors.

As Terrence H. O'Brien explains in the official U.K. government history book, Civil Defence, H.M. Stationery Office, 1955, at pages 9-13, the 13 June 1916 air raid on London by 14 Gotha bombers was the worst of the war, killing 162 and injuring 426 (because there was no duck and cover advice initially, and people moved outdoors to watch bombs falling on them, or stood behind glass windows to watch bombs fall before them and blast glass into their faces).  The British government did nothing until a repeated air raid on 7 July 1916 killed another 54 and injured 190.  This forced the government to make the police display "Take Cover" notices to encourage people to get indoors, and to blow whistles or even explode "maroon" sound bombs to indicate the danger for the deaf.  But still nothing was done about sensible "duck and cover" indoors to reduce dangers from collapsing houses until further air raids killed school children, and forced a further improvement in civil defence advice.

Now let's consider casualty rates.  The Secret 5 May 1941 British Cabinet report by Home Secretary Herbert Morrison, "Air Raids on London, September-November 1940" (U.K. National Archives document CAB 67-9) found that 1 ton of bombs totally destroyed homes for 35 people (10 houses) but killed only 6, in other words, 6/35 or 17% of those whose homes were wrecked were killed.  The majority survived, even in protracted bombing air raids where few people bothered to take shelter!  The report further noted: "most valuable information has been obtained on the effects of bombs in framed buildings.  Such buildings are practically immune to anything but a direct hit."

Ministry of Home Security reports S118 and RC450 show the casualty rates in totally demolished buildings (grade A damage, extending to 70 feet from ground zero in V1 and V2 surface bursts).  Report S118 shows that for the brief period of "duck and cover" possible in subsonic V1 cruise missile attacks on Britain in 1944, 23.5% were killed within 70 feet from ground zero (grade A damage to houses, total collapse), while RC450 shows that for the same zone in supersonic V2 missile attacks (no time for duck and cover, due to sound arriving with the shock wave), 61.9 of a sample of 155 people were killed in houses.  The RC450 data for V1 missiles on brick houses, giving a very brief duck and cover time, were used in Table 6.1 of the American Capabilities of Atomic Weapons (TM 23-200, November 1957, Confidential) and in Table 10-1 of Capabilities of Nuclear Weapons (DNA-EM-1, 1972).

Even more spectacular, within 70 feet radius, over half (51.2%) were totally unhurt in completely collapsed brick houses with the brief duck and cover time for V1 attacks (source: report RC450), compared to just 16.1% unhurt for the supersonic V2 attacks which gave no time for duck and cover (source: report S118).

Report S118 is based on a detailed analysis of 12 explosions of V2 missiles without any warning in built-up areas, where 155 people were in unprotected parts of brick houses within 70 feet of ground zero (grade A damage, collapse from over 30 psi peak overpressure), and 146 were in unprotected parts of brick houses within 70-100 feet of ground zero (grade B damage, partial collapse from 15-30 psi peak overpressure).  Grade C damage (cracked walls, houses standing but beyond economic repair) extended from 100-300 feet radius (2.5 to 15 psi peak overpressure) in these 1 ton TNT explosions where 90% were unhurt in brick houses, while grade D damage (glass and tiles damage) extended from 300-600 feet radius (1-2.5 psi peak overpressure) where 99.5 were hurt indoors.

Notice that these peak overpressures for 1 ton of TNT actually observed in WWII are:

70 feet radius: range of collapse or grade A damage = 30 psi peak overpressure
100 feet radius: range of partial collapse or grade B damage = 15 psi peak overpressure
300 feet radius: range of cracking to walls or grade C damage = 2.5 psi peak overpressure
600 feet radius: range of serious damage to glass and tiles or grade D damage = 1 psi peak overpressure

The same A, B, C and D damage overpressure zones defined by the U.K. government in Nuclear Weapons 1959 (which gives ranges corresponding to the overpressures listed below), and the pressures were reduced to take account of the longer blast duration from nuclear weapons:

grade A = 11 psi
grade B = 6 psi
grade C = 1.5 psi
grade D = 0.75 psi

Therefore, the 1950s U.K. Civil Defence Corps was not ignoring blast duration effects in its casualty estimates, because it correlated the world war II damage (not the overpressures from 1 ton TNT bombs!) with casualty rates and then compared actual damage from Nevada tests and Japan in August 1945 with the effects of similar house damage on people in Britain in WWII.  (CND type propaganda during the 1980s from Phil Bolsover, the BBC and Duncan Campbell falsely claimed that the UK data was based on blast pressures from conventional bombs.  But, as we have shown, the Home Office took account of this, showing that grade A damage brick house was caused by 30 psi peak overpressure in 1 ton of TNT V1 and V2 bombs, but required only 11 psi for nuclear weapons with a long blast duration, and so on.)

If we move to the data in each report (S118 and RC450) for the grade B damage (partial collapse) at 70-100 feet radius from 1 ton of TNT, we find that only 2.7% are killed for V1 attacks (slight duck and cover, report source RC450) compared to 7.5% killed for V2 attacks (no duck and cover).

The reports also give data for injuries (light injuries which require only plasters for glass cuts, and serious injuries which require hospital attention for broken bones, etc.).  But when you look into the details in the original reports you actually find that far from minimising casualty data, the U.K. reports maximise and tend to exaggerate casualties, because the few casualties that did occur in shelters tended to result from people ignoring the instructions and putting table shelters into rooms with unprotected glass windows or on insecure floors, or not properly bolting the shelters together.  Very few casualties if any tended to occur where the local street air raid wardens had inspected the shelters and ensured they were properly located and constructed!


Minuteman missile flight trajectory example (click here for larger view).


Update (15 July 2017):



Dr David Baker's September 2017 Haynes Nuclear Weapons Manual now has a preview on amazon, two months before publication. I remember being told by a physics professor that only criticisms from the famous are taken objectively, so maybe since I'm not famous, I'd better avoid making any criticisms.  From the selection of extracts available, it's a coffee table version of existing, widely known information, rather than setting out a more revolutionary approach that kills off propaganda.

David Baker's nice schematic of elementary physics digs a little deeper than the superficial drivel of most "introductions".
The contents appears to be based on the weapons themselves and their history in various countries, not our revolutionary facts about their real capabilities and effects with and without simple countermeasures, their real deterrent uses against conventional wars that risk escalating into nuclear wars, and their true, surprising equivalents to conventional wars.
Page 58 states: "ERW warheads were originally selected for the Lance missile ... but the public outcry was so great that they were never deployed."  But he doesn't seem to go into the facts about this, and sort the wheat grain from the chaff.
Dr Baker does do a very good job at covering the development of nuclear weapons by different countries, such as this example of British nuclear weapons including the configurations of the weapon casings and photos of arming keys.
Baker also describes warhead delivery systems such as Trident.

Review of Henry Wickham Steed (former Times newspaper editor), The Press, Penguin books, 14 October 1938

 The Pope may launch his Interdict,
The Union its decree,
But the bubble is blown and the bubble is pricked
By us and such as we.
Remember the battle and stand aside,
While thrones and powers confess
That King over all the children of pride
Is the press, the press, the press.

 - Kipling, The Press

Above: first edition of The Press by Henry Wickham Steed, Penguin Special S20, 250 pages (update on pages 249-250 is dated 14 October 1938)

 Steed's The Press is vitally important for understanding the current taboo on the publication and broadcast of the nuclear weapons capabilities facts by the mainstream media, because there was a similar taboo on a similar subject (arms and deterrence) for a similar reason ("political correctness") when he wrote it, in 1938, during the disarmament of the west relative to the fascist Nazi regime.  (Both were then arming, but the Nazis were doing it much faster than Britain, so the arms gap was widening and the prospects for winning a war were diminishing every day.)

The basic cause of the lack of free speech and publication then was exactly the same as it is today: foreign fascists, and other dictatorial regimes who hate free liberty, cloaked themselves in false liberal colours and claimed to be "offended" by free speech which denounced their aggressive threats.

As we previously pointed out in detail, contrary to popular historical drivel, the fact is that Winston Churchill was busy writing his histories of the Duke of Marlborough during the period, and his only contributions made the problems worse.  As appeaser Professor Cyril Joad pointed out in his Why War?, Churchill had prior to the first world war debated pacifist drivel monger and liar Sir Norman Angell on the arms race, losing the argument.  Angell simply sneered that if both sides try to deter the other, they will cause fail.  He didn't explain how.  The audience were taken by Angell's lies, not Churchill's blathering.  It's the old Machiavellian story of factual evidence losing the battle in the media because its proponents are pompous fools and can't make the evidence convincing:

"But to come to those who, by their own ability and not through fortune, have risen to be princes, I say that Moses, Cyrus, Romulus, Theseus, and such like are the most excellent examples. ... It was necessary, therefore, to Moses that he should find the people of Israel in Egypt enslaved and oppressed by the Egyptians, in order that they should be disposed to follow him so as to be delivered out of bondage. It was necessary that Romulus should not remain in Alba, and that he should be abandoned at his birth, in order that he should become King of Rome and founder of the fatherland. It was necessary that Cyrus should find the Persians discontented with the government of the Medes, and the Medes soft and effeminate through their long peace. Theseus could not have shown his ability had he not found the Athenians dispersed. These opportunities, therefore, made those men fortunate, and their high ability enabled them to recognize the opportunity whereby their country was ennobled and made famous.

"Those who by valorous ways become princes, like these men, acquire a principality with difficulty, but they keep it with ease. The difficulties they have in acquiring it arise in part from the new rules and methods which they are forced to introduce to establish their government and its security. And it ought to be remembered that there is nothing more difficult to take in hand, more perilous to conduct, or more uncertain in its success, than to take the lead in the introduction of a new order of things. Because the innovator has for enemies all those who have done well under the old conditions, and lukewarm defenders in those who may do well under the new. This coolness arises partly from fear of the opponents, who have the laws on their side, and partly from the incredulity of men, who do not readily believe in new things until they have had a long experience of them. Thus it happens that whenever those who are hostile have the opportunity to attack they do it like partisans, whilst the others defend lukewarmly, in such wise that the prince is endangered along with them.

"It is necessary, therefore, if we desire to discuss this matter thoroughly, to inquire whether these innovators can rely on themselves or have to depend on others: that is to say, whether, to consummate their enterprise, have they to use prayers or can they use force? In the first instance they always succeed badly, and never compass anything; but when they can rely on themselves and use force, then they are rarely endangered. Hence it is that all armed prophets have conquered, and the unarmed ones have been destroyed. Besides the reasons mentioned, the nature of the people is variable, and whilst it is easy to persuade them, it is difficult to fix them in that persuasion. And thus it is necessary to take such measures that, when they believe no longer, it may be possible to make them believe by force.

"If Moses, Cyrus, Theseus, and Romulus had been unarmed they could not have enforced their constitutions for long - as happened in our time to Fra Girolamo Savonarola, who was ruined with his new order of things immediately the multitude believed in him no longer, and he had no means of keeping steadfast those who believed or of making the unbelievers to believe. Therefore such as these have great difficulties in consummating their enterprise, for all their dangers are in the ascent, yet with ability they will overcome them; but when these are overcome, and those who envied them their success are exterminated, they will begin to be respected, and they will continue afterwards powerful, secure, honoured, and happy.

"To these great examples I wish to add a lesser one; still it bears some resemblance to them, and I wish it to suffice me for all of a like kind: it is Hiero the Syracusan. This man rose from a private station to be Prince of Syracuse, nor did he, either, owe anything to fortune but opportunity; for the Syracusans, being oppressed, chose him for their captain, afterwards he was rewarded by being made their prince. He was of so great ability, even as a private citizen, that one who writes of him says he wanted nothing but a kingdom to be a king. This man abolished the old soldiery, organized the new, gave up old alliances, made new ones; and as he had his own soldiers and allies, on such foundations he was able to build any edifice: thus, whilst he had endured much trouble in acquiring, he had but little in keeping."

- Nicolo Machiavelli, The Prince, Chapter VI, "Concerning New Principalities which are acquired by one's own arms and ability".

Steed in The Press puts himself in the position of Machiavelli by telling the reader truths they don't want to hear about the "news".  On page 248 Steed writes:

"My paper would be national, not nationalist.  It would be liberal, not Liberal.  It would strive for Peace, without pacifism. ... Never would it fall into the grievous error of thinking the avoidance of conflict the same thing as peace. ... men will never be weaned from war, with its spirit of life-risking adventure, unless peace enlist the spirit of self-devotion and self-sacrifice in ways worthier than those of war.  My newspaper would seek to link the nations not only against war but in defence of individual freedom and of human right ... it would work to harness all classes of citizens to the task of constructive improvement in the edifice of society."

On pages 249-250, Steed's 14 October 1938 update to the book damns the British media's appeasing cover-up of Nazi genocide in the Munich Agreement signed by Chamberlain days earlier, allowing the invasion of the Sudetenland without a bullet being fired, in the name of "peace", while Hitler monitored the British press and coerced Neville Henderson and Chamberlain into putting "old boy" pressure the publishers to fire appeasement critics like Captain W. E. Johns, editor of both Flying and Popular Flying, and to get Hitler critic cartoonist David Low to tone down his attacks (such critics were attacked falsely as racists who irrationally hate war mongering Aryans, etc):

"Since these lines were written in mid-September the British press has - with one or two notable exceptions - made further progress on the road that leads to totalitarian servitude.  Though we are not yet in a state of war ... the great majority of our newspapers toned down the news and withheld frank comment upon it.

"This they did partly in response to suggestions of "confidentially" made by some clandestine organisation that represents, or pretends to represent, the [anti-Jew, pro-fascist] views of official quarters.  No newspaper, as far as I am aware, has denounced in public this impertinent meddling with the freedom of responsible journalism.

"On the early afternoon of Sunday, October 9, the German Dictator, Herr Hitler, fortified by the Munich Agreement and by a scrap of paper which he and the British Prime Minister had signed - publicly told Great Britain to mind her own business and not to meddle with Germany's business; and, on pain of German displeasure, he placed his veto upon the return to office of three prominent British public men.

"When this news was broadcast on the evening of Sunday, October 9, the whole nation was moved to wrath.  Of the depth of its wrath hardly a hint was given next morning in the leading British newspapers ... large advertising agents had warned journals for which they provide much revenue that advertisements would be withheld from them should they 'play up' the international crisis and cause an alarm which was 'bad for trade'.  [Emphasis added.]

"None of the newspapers thus warned dared to publish the names of these advertisement agents or to hold them up to public contempt [it's unlikely that this would have worked if they had the mindset of former Labour Party MP fascist Sir Oswald Moseley, who openly wanted fascism in Britain, ran a "Blackshirt" newspaper in Britain, and had some powerful supporters camouflaged as "anti-war" pacifists on his side].  And this at a moment when it is of the utmost national importance to unite the country in defence of its freedom and, maybe, of its independent existence!

"Never since the distant days of Ethelred the Unready [a Chamberlain-like weak King who was never ready for the invading Danes and tried to buy them off, which just encouraged more and more blackmail] and the later days of Charles II, have more humiliating pages of British history been written than those which bear the record of the past few weeks.

"Of Ethelred the Unready and the period of Danegeld the Anglo-Saxon Chronicle said: 'All these calamities fell upon us because of evil counsel, because tribute was not offered to them [the Danes] at the right time nor yet were they resisted; but when they had done the most evil, then was peace made with them'."

"Of evil counsel there has been no lack during recent years.  'Leading' organs of the British Press have offered it in plenty [in 1935 Labour Party leader pacifist George Lansbury resigned at the thought of having to deter Nazi fascists from over-running the planet, and replaced by the disarmer Clement Attlee who we have quoted at length in previous posts, dismissing deterrence; thus Chamberlain had no real opponents and could rearm Britain slower than Hitler to avoid credibly deterring him].  'Leading' organs of the British Press have offered it in plenty.

"It would remain only for them to accept with dutiful submissiveness the claim which Herr Hitler has already put forward, and may soon renew, that unless the British Government wishes to incur German hostility it must so control British newspapers as to prevent them from taking exception to anything Herr Hitler may say or do.

"Fortunately, there are signs [too late to deter Hitler] that a spirit of revolt against this foreign dictation is stirring ... May this spirit spread ... until it finds courage to serve neither the timidity nor the dictatorial itch of Governments but the public to whom alone it owes allegiance."

This is a pretty damning critique of the British Press in 1938 by a former Times newspaper editor.  He was damned as a racist by the Nazis for writing that book, and Chamberlain's fascist mindset continued, getting Captain W. E. Johns fired for his Flying and Popular Flying magazine criticisms early in 1939.  It was only after the civil defence was really going, with Anderson shelter development in February 1939, that the mood changed and the press realised that its appeasement of Hitler's peace propaganda lies was wallpapering over the news of a real threat that needed to be stopped, and that war would not annihilate everyone in a few seconds if there was evacuation and shelter in place to reduce the dangers.  Conclusion: the "free" press is a laggard and historically stopped dissemination of facts in an unequivocal manner, until too late to credibly deter aggression.

Why the freedom of the press means freedom for dictatorial liars and thugs

 It is fashionable for self-proclaimed "liberals" who hate freedom to prattle on about the existence of "freedom of the press", as if that freedom to elitist, rich thugs is any better than, say "freedom of dictators", "freedom of elitists", "freedom of bigots", or indeed "freedom of liars".  Steed quotes Socrates:

 "The sun might as easily be spared from the universe as free speech from the liberal institutions of society."

 But Steed recognised that bigoted dictators like Hitler are easily "offended" by the "rudeness" of any critics (if the critic is so polite that the criticism is impotent, it's not a severe criticism, is it?) and states the key question on page 7 of The Press:

 "Dictatorial systems which muzzle or control the Press and do away with freedom of speech and of public and private criticism, are claiming for themselves a degree of political and social efficiency superior to that of democracies.  How far is this claim warranted? ... One thing they cannot tolerate is is the freedom of public knowledge that goes to the forming of sound judgement."

 On page 8, Steed argues that the Aryan Nazi fascist racism is as bad as his own families Jewish-Marxist hate of liberty, in suppressing objective, rational criticisms and smearing critics with abuse:

 "Unless there is freedom to know, to agree or to disagree, there cannot be enlightened support of the men charged with the conduct of public affairs.  In other words, there cannot exist the instructed public opinion which is the mainstay of democratic governments."

 For that defence of freedom of speech and critical debate, despite having a Jewish family, Steed was called a racist by the Jewish Marxists who prefer a Nazi-type Stalinist dictatorship to honest debate, because of their fanatical, paranoid hatred of "capitalism".  Steed explains on pages 8-9 the problem:

 "... absence of informed criticism or agreement, and the restriction of public knowledge, tend to breed the corruption and other forms of inefficiency to which dictatorial systems are particularly liable.  The same lack of public control allows abuses to grow until they reach a point at which a community is compelled to conspire or to rebel against its rulers, seeing that no other means of redress can be found.  Thus, the end of dictatorship man be chaos and social disorder."

 Another prescient remark is made by Steed on page 28 of The Press, on the subject of the future of television (which was still in its infancy in 1938):

 "... television should enable people to see what is actually taking place and to be spectators of real events.  Thus, it may exercise their powers of direct observation and strengthen, rather than weaken, their perceptive and reasoning faculties.  If so, it will be a gain, both to the public and to the press."

 Steed on page 41 of The Press also offers sage editorial advice to journalists and authors on the eternal problem of being fashionable enough to be of interest to potential readers:

 "If the Press would lead, it must first follow.  In any case, it must march so nearly abreast of its readers as to seem to be keeping pace with them.  To run too far ahead is to lose touch. ... The crowd likes to feel that those whom it follows know where to go, and how to get there.  Above all, the crowd likes its leaders to be proved right by events.  It does not easily forgive those who mislead or who fail to guide it at difficult turnings."

 Steed adds on page 42:

 "Mr Bernard Shaw has written some shrewd truths upon journalism.  'What people cannot endure,' he declares, 'is the pompous oracle with nothing to say ... They prefer snippets because the snippets are usually much better.  But let anyone come along who can supply the real thing, and the public cannot have enough of it. ... offices are prisons in which the cleverest editor will soon lose touch with the world, being cut off as he is from political meetings, scientific lectures, concerts and even dinners by the hours during which he has to work'."
He adds on page 57 a summary of the bugbears for different regimes that use "fashion" censorship:

 "Communist Russia cannot tolerate free discussion upon matters like the ownership of property.  Nazi Germany cannot allow the dogmas of blood and race to be called in question.  Fascist Italy cannot brook free enquiry into the nature or functions of the state, or into the position of individuals in regard to the state."

 On the next page, Steed quotes John Stuart Mill's On Liberty: "A person may cause evil to others not only by his actions, but by his inaction, and in either case he is justly accountable to them for the injury."

 The point here is that censorship prevents the correction of error, as Steed explains on page 58:

 "This sound doctrine applies with especial force to the freedom of the press.  In free countries, the press fails in its proper task if it glosses over or shirks from exposing abuses or practices harmful to the general welfare."

On pages 63-64, Steed explains that Hitler's error was in assuming that the diversity of thought between Aryan and Jewish cultures in Germany in WWI led to defeat, whereas supposed unity or herd like co-operation in Britain led to its victory in that war:

 "Human progress, as I understand it, has not been bought about by 'mass thought' or 'likemindedness' [Although this was important in American and British factories for the efficient manufacture of munitions in WWI, and is also used in large lecture theatres for mass-education and for scientific journals to indoctrinate people in fashionable dogmas regardless of the benefits of less fashionable alternatives which, with funding, are eventually shown to model the data more consistently.  Since 1972 this has been named "groupthink" by Dr Irving Janis.]  ... The worth of freedom is that it gives a chance to individual minds to wrestle with error and ignorance, so seek what is true and to proclaim it, and, no matter at what risk, to bear witness to the truth they have found.  It is an opportunity for personal enterprise and endeavour; and, politically and socially, an opening for public service.  It is the antithesis of dictatorial constraint."

Steed explains on page 68 of The Press that in Nazi Germany, Herr Wilhelm Waldkirch's book, Die Zeitungspolitische Aufgabe, or The Political Task of the Press, instructs newspapers to communicate Hitler's messages to the people, and as Hitler himself said (a quote the communists believe, too):

 "A newspaper is the means of popular self-education [if it is censored by bigoted dogmatists]."

 Now contrast this crap of Adolf Hitler to the London 7 February 1852 The Times newspaper editorial:

 "The duty of the journalist is the same as that of the historian - to seek out the truth, above all things, and to present it to his readers, not such things as statecraft would wish them to know, but the truth as near as he can attain it."

Steed argues that wars and revolutions are the lifeblood of the news on page 110 of The Press:

 "... in August 1642, three months after Charles I had raised his standard against Parliament at Nottingham, the first true newspaper came into being.  Regular English journalism began with the Civil War and the political strife that led up to it.  From the outset it was vivacious and, on the whole, truthful."

 He explains on page 112:

 "It was not by accident that the first English newspapers took shape between 1640 and 1688, that is to say, during the troubled period covered by the reign of Charles I, the Commonwealth, and the reigns of Charles II and James II, for at no time in English history had so many conflicting political ideas and passions filled the public mind, or had the essentials of political freedom been so fiercely debated.  With the Revolution of 1688, the expulsion of James II and the accession of William and Mary, English political ideas began profoundly to influence the Continent of Europe.  The movement of thought represented by Locke's essays on Toleration and Concerning the Human Understanding led, directly and indirectly, to the "Encyclopaedism" [the political satires of Voltaire, et al.] which was to culminate in the French Revolution of 1789, after having been responsible, in part, for the terms of the American Declaration of Independence, on July 4, 1776."

 Steed argues on page 113:

 "This movement of thought might not have spread and flourished without the constant discussion of fundamental principles in English newspapers ..."

 He explains that King Charles II had tried to prevent this freedom of the press by his 1680 proclamation For Restraining the Printing of News, Books and Pamphlets of News without Leave.  In other words, Charles II was well aware that the free press was being used to incite and spread dissent and revolutionary conspiracies that (in the words of Charles II's Chief Justice Scroggs in 1680) "showed a manifest intent to breach the peace", and tried to stamp it out by using censorship (like the Vatican's Index of heretical books).  But in 1695, Parliament liberated the press from the shackles of Charles II's law.  During the period 1680-1695, England had to rely on personal letters and word of mouth for uncensored news, as in Nazi Germany and the USSR.

Steed writes on page 114 of The Press that the liberation of the press from censorship in 1695 led to an explosion in popular publications:

 "Within a few weeks of the freeing of the Press from censorship, a number of newspapers of a fresher type came into existence ... On May 17, 1695, appeared the Flying Post, published thrice weekly.  It was followed quickly by The English Courant, the Post Boy and the Weekly Messenger, all of which were morning papers. ... On Wednesday March 11, 1702, however, the Daily Courant was published.  It was the first English daily paper."

 What is most interesting on pages 166-167 of Steed's The Press is his discussion of how Hitler controlled the censorship of criticism of Nazi propaganda in Britain's "free press" in Britain:

 "Totalitarian Governments often profess to desire peace and friendship ... So foreign criticism and and the publication [in free countries] of unpleasant facts are deplored as tending to 'impede friendship and to endanger peace'.  Moreover, when independent and well-informed writers in free countries comment truthfully upon the doings of totalitarian Governments, the ambassadors or other emissaries of those Governments [whose job it is explain foreign newspaper headlines and leading articles with the dictator] lose no time in suggesting to newspaper proprietors or editors [or in the case of David Low's cartoons or the Flying and Popular Flying magazines editor Captain WE Johns, cabinet ministers, who can coerce and pull strings with otherwise independent-minded publishers] that the publication of contributions from such writers 'irritate' the dictators and are therefore dangerous. ... to restrain foreign criticism without causing public resentment.

 "Herr Hitler has, it is true, publicly demanded that British newspapers be brought under Government control, at least to the extent of suppressing criticism of himself or of Nazi Germany.  And he threatened Great Britain with a 'National Socialist answer' if this were not done. ... They forgot that in dealing with bullies, meekness is a vice."

 Hitler's answer to charges that he was bully was simply to assert that his critics were bullies.  The word doesn't convey any meaning without the context being taken into account: who is telling the lies, and who is exposing the relevant facts against the censorship of liars?  That tells you who the bully is.  While you might claim that everybody has the right to censoring others, the problem is that this gives a free hand to lying fairy-tale "story tellers" who publish partial facts and refuse to engage in debate with real opponents, publishing only praising comments, which make them appear right.  That was the subtle tactic used by Hitler: there was no censorship of people writing to praise him!

 President Ronald Reagan put this beautifully as a joke, along the following lines:

 American says to a Russian comrade: "I'm liberal, as I'm free to criticise the American government."
Russian replies: "I'm also liberal, as I'm also free to criticise the American government!"

(The point being made is that, even in the worst dictatorships, there is plenty of so-called "freedom" if you just love dictatorships and praise the dictator, or you criticise or attack the dictator's enemies!)

The attempts of Hitler to use influence over the Daily Mail and other British newspapers for fascist revolution in London were in 1936 analysed in detail by Nazi researcher Dr Max Gruenbeck in his two-volume treatise on the British press for fascists, Die Presse Grossbritanniens, a work approved officially by Hitler's expert on foreign media, Dr Ernst Hanfstaengel (Chief of the Nazi Party Foreign Press Department), and that book is quoted by Steed on pages 174-175 of The Press, as follows:

"Especially in recent years, British newspaper men and politicians insist that Great Britain and the United States of America are countries where the Press is absolutely free. ... When Lord Rothermere's papers [e.g. London Daily Mail] gave vigorous support for a time to the Fascist movement [of former Labour Party MP, Sir Oswald Mosley] in England their initiative was throttled in a few weeks by their advertisement department ... The State has various possibilities of influencing newspapers; and, particularly at critical moments, old and half-forgotten laws like the Official Secrets Act can be brought forward to throw serious shadows upon the halo of British newspaper freedom."

Ummm. Nazis appealing to the British Official Secrets Act to defend fascism?  That was of course exactly what happened in 1935 when British government fascist-supporting appeasers used the trick of keeping secret estimates on the size of the illegal German Air Force, while making public statements denying any air threat, but then suddenly reversed direction when Hitler announced an air force and announced that the German Air Force was not only real but too big to fight, so that due to the Official Secrets Act, at no time was there an admitted "emerging threat" which could be stopped!

Steed explains on page 194 how secrecy laws in France were abused by a spy who had infiltrated the French military, Colonel Henry, who gave French military secrets to Germany and covered up the disclosures by fabricating a trumped up charge against an innocent scapegoat, Captain Dreyfus, who was wrongly convicted or treason on the basis of faked evidence by the spy, and was sentenced to penal servitude on the worst French prison, in Devil's Isle.  This led to Emile Zola's article J'accuse, and Colonel Henry's eventual arrest and suicide in 1898.  Steed had met Bernard Lazare, the French Jew who exposed the facts that led to Zola's article, while he was working on a history of liberal thought in Europe, in Paris University, as he explains on page 194 of The press:

"This 'Dreyfus Affair' contained in germ the anti-Jewish feeling that has since been exploited by Hitler in Germany.  The French anti-Semites made capital out of it.  They claimed that the honour of the French Army was offended by suggestions that a French court martial had condemned an innocent man ... So fierce did controversy become that the stability of the French Republic was believed to be threatened. ... And, since Germany and Italy were alleged to have benefited by Captain Dreyfus's 'treason', the crisis took on a dangerous international character."

THE CORRUPT PSEUDO-SCIENTIFIC JOURNALS

 Science has always been corrupted by malicious hate attacks on new technology, such as nuclear weapons deterrent, an exploitation for quackery, which is defined as a "professional" (money-making) activity, akin to peddling snakeoil for profit.  Throughout the 20th century, nuclear weapons effects were abuse by communist fronts like CND and Greenpeace, just as today they prevent any just, constructive, and evidence based criticisms of CO2 climate theory from being published (but do allow lies to be published), using paranoid and pseudo-scientific "elitist" dictatorship rather than reason.  This is called hubris, it is the corruption of power by a lying cartel of funding grant milkers.

To give some examples, in the 1930s the irrational hater of cheap Anderson type air raid shelters who delayed civil defence possibly for years (which were needed for credible deterrence of the Nazi bombing threat, the main obstacle in stopping genocide in Europe), the famous chemistry professor J. B. S. Haldane was able to put out a series of books linking science to his pet politics, Marxism.  In 1938 he published The Marxist Philosophy and the Sciences, as well as Heredity and Politics, while fellow Marxist and best-selling  popular mathematics author (who had the long-winded best sellers Mathematics for the Million and Science for the Citizen) Lancelot Hogben, edited the book Political Arithmetic.  These were abuses of science for supporting dictatorship propaganda about "equality".

Anyone who argued was censored out, and these people were only willing to enter debates with biased empires who would silence just opponents to make it appear they were wrong, without being given any fair chance to oppose the liars.  A major reason why so many East Enders bombed in the Blitz did not use their Anderson shelters in the London Blitz and other air raids was not the cold and damp (duck boards had been invented in WWI trenches to deal with the problems), but the J. B. S. Haldane's continuing lying Marxist crusade to exaggerate high explosive effects and to call for deep shelters by claiming that simple, affordable earth covered shelters gave no protection (totally untrue):

Lying scientist Professor JBS Haldane exaggerated explosive bombing effects to attack effective cheap air raid shelters, ensuring that many people were murdered needlessly in the Blitz of 1940 by not being in their shelters during air raids!  Exactly the same thing occurs in conventional wars today for the same reason: egotistic, ignorant, narky professors who have never tested shelters make up ranting hate campaigns in the name of "peace".  This also applies to nuclear weapons civil defence.
Like the repeated lying articles on a "missile gap" which the lying Washington Post newspaper published by Democrat writer Alsop and which Kennedy naively believed, the lying Daily Worker newspaper in Britain hated civil defence and ensured that as few people as possible used safe air raid shelters, using cartoon propaganda that effectively supported the Nazis, something understandable when you remember the Nazi-Soviet Pact made in August 1939 for Germany and Russia to jointly invade Poland in September 1939 (a pact that continued right through the Blitz of 1940 and only ended with Hitler's invasion of Russia in June 1941, to the complete surprise of Stalin, who had been shooting the messengers who truthfully told him what his beloved fellow dictator and comrade Hitler was planning).  The communists wanted Britain to give a free hand to the Nazi-Soviet Pact, and civil defence shelters stood in the way of the Daily Worker's agenda.

Update (22 July 2017): This Glasstone blog


Above: from May 2010 to 22 July 2017 there have been 1,491,479 views of this blog, mainly on the default page https://glasstone.blogspot.co.uk/ rather than any archived post (the most popular archived individual post has received 60,301 bits, which is only 4% of the total number of views). The blogger Glasstone blog was set up in March 2006, but blogger statistics are only displayed on this page from May 2010, probably due to blogger dumping the earlier statistics a few years ago (the statistics recorded from 2006 to 2010 are available in screen prints on earlier posts in that period, and bring the total to something over 2 million hits).  Fascism is a fashion conscious, populist, groupthink movement of hypocrisy, so they are always keen to claim that they have to pay no attention to something nobody reads, no matter how much factual evidence is available which debunks the fashionable lies of the populist media on nuclear weapons effects for deterring conventional wars.  Therefore, it is advisable to record statistics which prove that there is some interest in the facts, debunking fascist anti-civil defence, anti-life, anti-freedom and anti-liberty hubris in the mainstream pseudo-liberal media.

Update (23 July 2017) on the rising threats of fascism in Britain from the hard pseudo-liberal left
16 July 2017 page 8 SUNDAY EXPRESS: Corbyn's racist and fascist Labour Party anti-Jew hate incitement tragedy facts. Jews are being attacked by ignorant Left wing communists and Marxists on the false Nazi claim that they are evil capitalists.
Frederick Forsyth has written on page 13 of the 21 July 2017 Daily Express about the rising tide of evil fascist racial hatred in Jeremy Corbyn's Labour Party, reminding the world of historical facts:

"Moderate Labour MPs have been threatened with death ... This happened in the 1930s in Italy.  The extreme Left demagogue then was called Mussolini. Lest you be confused, both the Italian Fascist Party and the German NSDAP started out as extreme Left.  [And Britain's Union of Fascists leader, Sir Oswald Mosley, was a former Labour Party MP.  The Labour Party leader George Lansbury in 1935 resigned because he couldn't face an arms race to deter Nazis from killing Jews. In August 1939 the USSR and Nazis signed a pact to invade Poland from East and West in September 1939 and before the Nazis started the Holocaust in Poland, the USSR had already murdered in cold blood 22,000 Polish Jews in the Katryn Forest Massacre of March 1940. USSR-Nazi collaboration continued after the USSR invasion of Poland in 1939 and continued throughout the Blitz of London, ending only in June 1941.  Stick that fact in your pipe and smoke it, communist thugs.] They were later dubbed Right because each was a vicious rival of the communist parties for the working class vote. ... But the new ultra-Left adores Jeremy Corbyn, a dyed-in-the-wool Marxist-Leninist and demagogue.

"Mr Corbyn has publicly supported the provisional IRA which murdered 18 paratroopers at Warrenpoint ... He has lauded Hamas and Hezbollah ... He proudly subscribes to the economic theories of Marxist-Leninism which, everywhere they have been tried, have led to ruin. ... its gulags set up more concentration camps than the Nazis. ... Behind him stands Momentum and inside it the hard squad for whom intimidation is no stranger.  Already within Labour anti-Semitism, always a storm-cone of coming nastiness, is virtually institutionalised.  But the truly weird thing is this.  According to the polls, more than half the voters of Britain would elect him tomorrow - the new duce of hard-Left fascism - to be our prime minister."

The reason for this result is precisely the same TV and general media bias that has been allowed to occur on nuclear weapons, which filters out all the hard facts, leaving only lying crap to mislead!

Beryl Peach exposes cowardly rioting thugs tactics in supporting Jeremy Corbyn Labour party fanaticism: DAILY EXPRESS 2017.
Frederick Forsyth DAILY EXPRESS 21 July 2017 page 33 exposing fascism of left wing fanatic Jeremy Corbyn.
Frederick Forsyth DAILY EXPRESS 21 July 2017 page 33 exposing fascism of left wing fanatic Jeremy Corbyn.

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